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Australia's Property Market Outlook: Moderated Growth Projected for 2026

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Australia's property market, which demonstrated substantial activity in 2025, is anticipated to experience moderated growth in 2026.

Market Projections for 2026

  • A deceleration in property price growth is expected.
  • The risk of interest rate increases remains, which could impact borrowing costs.
  • Rising borrowing costs may contribute to negative growth in certain property sectors.

Factors Influencing Market Segments

Despite a general slowing, specific market segments are projected to maintain activity:

  • Affordable Market: This segment is supported by:
    • Government-backed initiatives for first-home buyers.
    • A re-engagement of investors.
    • Sustained demand for budget-friendly properties.
  • Higher-Priced Segments: These areas are expected to experience a reduction in growth.

Preceding Market Performance (2025)

The anticipated moderation follows a period of significant expansion over the past 12 months. This period was characterized by:

  • Double-digit house price growth across numerous regions nationwide.
  • Strong performance in cities such as Perth, Adelaide, and Brisbane.
  • Contributing factors included low housing inventory and a period of declining interest rates.