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U.S. Unveils Strategic Critical Minerals Plan, Eschews Tariffs for Negotiations and Reserve

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U.S. Unveils Comprehensive Strategy for Critical Mineral Supply Chains

The U.S. administration has announced a comprehensive strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains, including the establishment of a nearly $12 billion strategic reserve and directives for international negotiations, while opting against tariffs. This initiative aims to reduce the nation's reliance on foreign processing of key minerals, addressing national security and economic vulnerabilities stemming from global supply chain concentrations, particularly in China.

Presidential Directive on Critical Mineral Supply

President Donald Trump directed the U.S. Commerce Department and the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative to initiate negotiations with foreign suppliers to decrease the United States' dependence on imported processed critical minerals. This directive, issued under Section 232 of U.S. trade law, grants the administration authority to monitor and adjust imports deemed detrimental to national security, with the stated goal of strengthening domestic supply chains and safeguarding military readiness.

While acknowledging the United States' reliance on foreign sources for these materials, President Trump announced a decision against imposing tariffs on rare earths, lithium, and other critical minerals.

Instead, he instructed U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to pursue supplies from international trading partners. The objective of these negotiations is to adjust critical mineral imports to prevent threats to U.S. national security, with an emphasis on promoting the use of price floors for critical minerals. President Trump stated that if negotiations do not yield successful outcomes, he would consider implementing minimum import prices for critical minerals or exploring other unspecified measures.

This approach aligns with a recommendation from Secretary Lutnick, who initiated a national security review under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 in April. Lutnick's report, submitted in October, identified that the U.S. is dependent on foreign critical mineral sources, lacks secure supply chains, and experiences unstable price volatility, which collectively pose a national security vulnerability. Discussions, including those with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, also highlighted critical mineral supply security as a priority issue, noting constraints on investments in clean energy, defense production, and next-generation technologies due to foreign processing limitations.

Establishment of "Project Vault" Strategic Reserve

The administration introduced "Project Vault," a critical minerals stockpile valued at nearly $12 billion, intended to counteract foreign market control, particularly China's. This strategic reserve is designed to protect manufacturers in sectors such as vehicles, electronics, jet engines, and radar systems from potential supply chain disruptions.

Funding for Project Vault includes a $10 billion loan from the U.S. Export-Import Bank (Ex-Im Bank) and approximately $1.67 billion in private capital. The Ex-Im Bank's board approved this $10 billion loan, its largest ever, with Bank President and Chairman John Jovanovic stating that the project establishes a public-private partnership framework requiring participation and long-term financial commitments from all beneficiaries, including manufacturers such as Clarios, GE Vernova, Western Digital, and Boeing. The government anticipates profitability from this loan over its 15-year term. The reserve is compared to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which was established in the 1970s.

The U.S. government has previously provided financial backing and taken stakes in rare earth miners, including MP Materials, Vulcan Elements, and USA Rare Earth, with a reported $1.6 billion direct investment in USA Rare Earth.

Diplomatic Engagement and International Collaboration

The U.S. is actively pursuing international partnerships as part of its strategy. Vice President JD Vance delivered a keynote address at a ministerial meeting on critical minerals hosted by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, which included officials from numerous European, Asian, and African nations. During this meeting, the U.S. anticipated signing agreements on supply chain logistics. Secretary Rubio previously held discussions with foreign ministers from South Korea and India regarding critical minerals mining and processing. Eleven additional countries are expected to be announced for the initiative.

Industry experts, such as Pini Althaus, founder of USA Rare Earth, have suggested that other countries might collaborate with the U.S. in acquiring critical minerals and stimulating industry growth, potentially forming a 'buyers’ club' to establish pricing structures.

Wade Senti, president of the U.S. permanent magnet company AML, indicated that the stockpile strategy could foster a 'more organic' pricing model, potentially reducing foreign influence on market prices.

Geopolitical Context and Broader Efforts

China is identified as a primary global producer and refiner, controlling approximately 70% of the world’s rare earths mining and 90% of its processing. The administration's actions are a response to China's earlier decision to restrict the flow of rare earth elements during a trade dispute, leading to stricter restrictions than prior to the current administration, even during a one-year truce. The directive highlighted that domestic mineral extraction alone does not ensure national security if processing remains reliant on foreign nations.

Further U.S. efforts include the Pentagon allocating nearly $5 billion over the past year to secure its access to these materials. Bipartisan lawmakers, including Senators Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) and Todd Young (R-Ind.), have proposed creating a new agency with $2.5 billion in funding to boost the domestic production of rare earths and other critical minerals, acknowledging bipartisan support for a robust domestic supply. David Abraham, a rare earths expert, noted that building a stockpile would be a long-term endeavor due to the current scarcity of materials under existing restrictions and highlighted the importance of fostering manufacturing industries that utilize these minerals.